National Organization for Marriage president Brian Brown was interviewed by 790 KABC radio back during the Democratic National Convention. Brown’s words at the time appear to be less than prophetic, and now seem even less so. President Barack Obama’s lead among voters appears to be increasing rather than diminishing in the wake of the conventions.
Brown stated that:
“We just won in North Carolina by 61% — 61% to support a strong marriage amendment. Just looking at it politically this is a state President Obama needs to win and being on the wrong side of 6-in-10 voters right when you’re going to have your Democratic National Convention there and the Democrats are going to put an endorsement of same-sex marriage in their plank? This is a very bad idea and I think what you’re going to see … you’re going to lose these key swing states. You’re going to lost Ohio, you’re going to lose North Carolina.”
Brown loves to trumpet the numbers, but forgets that there are some pretty good reasons why North Carolina’s anti-gay and anti-religious amendment won by such a big margin. The Republicans were running competitive races at the time, and this allowed them to pull in more of their voters during the primary races. Democrats did not turn out in as great a number as Republicans during the primaries.
Secondly, Ohio is not North Carolina. Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight is projecting that Romney will win North Carolina, but that Obama is going to win Ohio, Virginia and Florida. While North Carolinian voters may be more interested in social issues, Ohio’s voters are not. They are more concerned about employment and economic issues.
In truth, Brown is attempting to control the narrative and make it seem like Obama’s support of same-sex marriage is going to hurt him. The reality is that it might hurt him in states like Georgia, Alabama and Mississippi, but he was going to lose those states anyway.